关键词: Nataf变换, 鞍点逼近法, 多失效模式, 响应功能函数, 总效应

Abstract: For reliability model with multiple failure modes commonly used in practical engineering, the saddlepoint approximation method is employed to analyze the total effect of the basic random variable in case of the multiple failure modes. In the proposed method, saddlepoint approximation method is combined with Nataf transformation for approximating the unconditional joint probability density function and conditional joint one of the multiple response performance function, on which the total effect of the basic random variable on the probability distribution of the multiple response performance function can be calculated. The concept and the implementation of the proposed method are described step by step, and several examples are used to verify the rationality and feasibility of proposed method.

Key words: Multiple failure modes, Nataf transformation, Response performance function, Saddlepoint approximation, Total effect