面向2035的智能制造技术预见和路线图研究

doi:10.3901/JME.2022.04.285

机械工程学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 58 ›› Issue (4): 285-304.doi: 10.3901/JME.2022.04.285

• 交叉与前沿 • 上一篇

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面向2035的智能制造技术预见和路线图研究

臧冀原¹, 刘宇飞¹, 王柏村², 苗仲桢³, 薛塬¹, 李培根^4,5

1. 中国工程院战略咨询中心北京 100088;
2. 浙江大学机械工程学院杭州 310027;
3. 清华大学中国工程科技发展战略研究院北京 100083;
4. 中国工程院北京 100088;
5. 华中科技大学机械科学与工程学院武汉 430074

收稿日期:2021-05-18 修回日期:2022-01-19 出版日期:2022-02-20 发布日期:2022-04-30
通讯作者: 王柏村(通信作者),男,1990年出生,博士,研究员,博士研究生导师。主要研究方向为智能制造、人-信息-物理系统、工业工程等。E-mail:baicunw@zju.edu.cn
作者简介:臧冀原,男,1981年出生,博士,副研究员。主要研究方向为制造强国、智能制造、产业基础等。E-mail:zangjy@cae.cn;李培根,男,1948年出生,中国工程院院士,博士,教授,博士研究生导师。主要研究方向为机械制造及其自动化、智能制造等。E-mail:pgli@mail.hust.edu.cn
基金资助:
中国工程院重大咨询研究资助项目(2019-ZD-09)。

Technology Forecasting and Roadmapping of Intelligent Manufacturing by 2035

ZANG Jiyuan¹, LIU Yufei¹, WANG Baicun², MIAO Zhongzhen³, XUE Yuan¹, LI Peigen^4,5

1. Center for Strategic Studies, Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing 100088;
2. School of Mechanical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310027;
3. Chinese Institute of Engineering Development Strategies, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100083;
4. Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing 100088;
5. School of Mechanical Science and Engineering, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074

Received:2021-05-18 Revised:2022-01-19 Online:2022-02-20 Published:2022-04-30

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 近年来，我国围绕智能制造技术及其应用开展了大量研究工作，面对智能制造不断涌现的新技术、新理念、新模式，为更好推动后续智能制造技术相关研究的有序开展，对智能制造中的智能产品、离散型制造、流程型制造、新模式新业态、工业智联网、智能制造云等六个方向，分别通过技术体系构建与技术态势扫描、技术清单制定、问卷调查与专家研讨等方法与过程，从目标层、实施层、保障层等三个层次绘制面向2035年的智能制造技术路线图，并指出目前智能制造需要集中力量攻克的关键技术清单，以期为未来智能制造技术发展的政策制定、价值评价、竞争力评价、战略管理和科学研究等提供参考。

关键词: 智能制造, 技术预见, 技术路线图

Abstract: In recent years, extensive research has been conducted on intelligent manufacturing technologies and applications. However, only technologies are not enough to continuously transform and upgrade manufacturing sectors. Increasing concepts and models in intelligent manufacturing make the prioritization of research and implementation of intelligent manufacturing technologies a critical task. In this study, we proposed an intelligent manufacturing technology roadmap based on the forecasting of the trends of new technologies, the identification of key enabling technologies, and the design of technology development roadmaps. In this work, the research on intelligent manufacturing is discussed in detail, including intelligent products, discrete manufacturing, process manufacturing, new models and new paradigms, industrial internet of things, and intelligent manufacturing cloud. Following this idea, the intelligent manufacturing technology roadmaps by 2035 are designed accordingly and built upon the procedures of technology system construction, technology situation scanning, technologies listing, questionnaire surveys, and expert discussions. Three main levels are listed in the roadmap, including target level, implementation level, and supporting level. This work is expected to fulfill the research gap and urgent needs in policy formulation, value and competitiveness evaluation, strategic management, and scientific research for the future development of intelligent manufacturing.

Key words: intelligent manufacturing, technology forecasting, technology roadmapping

中图分类号:

TH16
TP2

臧冀原, 刘宇飞, 王柏村, 苗仲桢, 薛塬, 李培根. 面向2035的智能制造技术预见和路线图研究[J]. 机械工程学报, 2022, 58(4): 285-304.

ZANG Jiyuan, LIU Yufei, WANG Baicun, MIAO Zhongzhen, XUE Yuan, LI Peigen. Technology Forecasting and Roadmapping of Intelligent Manufacturing by 2035[J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2022, 58(4): 285-304.

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面向2035的智能制造技术预见和路线图研究

Technology Forecasting and Roadmapping of Intelligent Manufacturing by 2035

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